Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PABLO-19 in Portugal from 25 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 27 Oct 2019 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PABLO-19

in Portugal

27 Oct 2019 15 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PABLO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Portugal
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (29 Oct 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
2	26 Oct 2019 03:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
3	26 Oct 2019 09:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
4	26 Oct 2019 15:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
5	26 Oct 2019 21:00	93	10 thousand	No people	Portugal
6	27 Oct 2019 03:00	102	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
7	27 Oct 2019 09:00	111	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
8	27 Oct 2019 15:00	120	6 thousand	No people	Portugal

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.8, -32.2
2	26 Oct 2019 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.5, -31.1
3	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.3, -30.3
4	26 Oct 2019 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	150000 people	35.2, -28.1	Portugal
5	26 Oct 2019 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	13000 people	36.3, -25.6	Portugal
6	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	38.2, -22.6
7	27 Oct 2019 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	40.7, -20
8	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	42.8, -18.3
8	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	45.3, -17.2
8	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	46.9, -17.8
8	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	47.9, -18.7
8	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	49.5, -20.3

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Ballyconneely, Ireland. This height is estimated for 29 Oct 2019 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (52 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 27 Oct 2019 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Ballyconneely	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Ballinaboy	Ireland	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Vila do Porto	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Sao Lourenco	Portugal	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Dunquin	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Smerwick	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Ballyferriter	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Clynacartan	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Chapeltown	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Milltown	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Knights Town	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	An Daingean	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Ballinskelligs	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Cahirciveen	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Ard	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Carna	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Portmagee	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Ventry	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Cleggan	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	An Clochan	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Moyard	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Rinvyle	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Letterfrack	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Roundstone	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Gowlaun	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Glinsk	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Onaght	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Kilkieran	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Lettermullan	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Kilronan	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Killeany	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Derryrush	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Lettermore	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Bealadangan	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Rosmuck	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Gortmore	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Dooagh	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Keel	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Dooega	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Camport	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Achill Sound	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Corraun	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Killadoon	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Louisburgh	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Doogort	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Doohooma	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Mallaranny	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Mullagh	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Rosturk	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Baltimore	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Aghleam	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Waterville	Ireland	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.